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The Blind Side Of Public Debt Spikes

The Blind Side Of Public Debt Spikes
Author: Laura Jaramillo
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1475545231
Size: 57.81 MB
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What explains public debt spikes since the end of WWII? To answer this question, this paper identifies 179 debt spike episodes from 1945 to 2014 across advanced and developing countries. We find that debt spikes are not rare events and their probability increases with time. We then show that large public debt spikes are neither driven by high primary deficits nor by output declines but instead by sizable stock-flow adjustments (SFAs). We also find that SFAs are poorly forecasted, which can affect debt sustainability analyses, and are associated with a higher probability of suffering non-declining debt paths in the aftermath of public debt spikes.
The Blind Side of Public Debt Spikes
Language: en
Pages: 32
Authors: Laura Jaramillo, Mr.Carlos Mulas-Granados, Elijah Kimani
Categories: Business & Economics
Type: BOOK - Published: 2016-10-14 - Publisher: International Monetary Fund
What explains public debt spikes since the end of WWII? To answer this question, this paper identifies 179 debt spike episodes from 1945 to 2014 across advanced and developing countries. We find that debt spikes are not rare events and their probability increases with time. We then show that large
The Blind Side of Public Debt Spikes
Language: en
Pages: 32
Authors: Laura Jaramillo, Mr.Carlos Mulas-Granados, Elijah Kimani
Categories: Business & Economics
Type: BOOK - Published: 2016-10-14 - Publisher: International Monetary Fund
What explains public debt spikes since the end of WWII? To answer this question, this paper identifies 179 debt spike episodes from 1945 to 2014 across advanced and developing countries. We find that debt spikes are not rare events and their probability increases with time. We then show that large
Sovereign Debt
Language: en
Pages: 288
Authors: S. Ali Abbas, Alex Pienkowski, Kenneth Rogoff
Categories: Business & Economics
Type: BOOK - Published: 2019-10-21 - Publisher: Oxford University Press
The last time global sovereign debt reached the level seen today was at the end of the Second World War, and this shaped a generation of economic policymaking. International institutions were transformed, country policies were often draconian and distortive, and many crises ensued. By the early 1970s, when debt fell
The Economics of Discontent
Language: en
Pages: 356
Authors: Jean-Michel Paul
Categories: Business & Economics
Type: BOOK - Published: 2019-06-14 - Publisher: Tomson
The social contract that has underpinned growth and political stability in the Western world since World War II has broken down. Houses, health care and higher education have become unaffordable to a majority of people, while the burden of unregulated monopolies, globalization and uncontrolled immigration has fallen disproportionately on the
IMF Research Bulletin, December 2016
Language: en
Pages: 16
Authors: International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
Categories: Business & Economics
Type: BOOK - Published: 2016-12-30 - Publisher: International Monetary Fund
The Research Summaries in this issue of the IMF Research Bulletin cover “Tax Capacity and Growth” (by Vitor Gaspar, Laura Jaramillo, and Philippe Wingender), and “U.S. Shale Revolution and Its Spillover Effects on the Global Economy” (Ravi Balakrishnan, Keiko Honjo, Akito Matsumoto, and Andrea Pescatori). The Q&A coauthored by Amadou
The Congressional Globe
Language: en
Pages:
Authors: United States. Congress
Categories: Law
Type: BOOK - Published: 1847 - Publisher:
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Language: en
Pages:
Authors: United States. Congress
Categories: Hardware
Type: BOOK - Published: 1891 - Publisher:
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Language: en
Pages:
Authors: United States. Congress
Categories: Caricatures and cartoons
Type: BOOK - Published: 1849 - Publisher:
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Angriff der Algorithmen
Language: de
Pages: 336
Authors: Cathy O'Neil
Categories: Political Science
Type: BOOK - Published: 2017-08-21 - Publisher: Carl Hanser Verlag GmbH Co KG
Algorithmen nehmen Einfluss auf unser Leben: Von ihnen hängt es ab, ob man etwa einen Kredit für sein Haus erhält und wie viel man für die Krankenversicherung bezahlt. Cathy O’Neil, ehemalige Hedgefonds-Managerin und heute Big-Data-Whistleblowerin, erklärt, wie Algorithmen in der Theorie objektive Entscheidungen ermöglichen, im wirklichen Leben aber mächtigen Interessen
Homers Odyssee
Language: de
Pages: 344
Authors: Homerus
Categories: Political Science
Type: BOOK - Published: 1800 - Publisher:
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